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Leeb's Market Forecast | |
April 9, 2008 | |
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Dear Investor,
Leebs Ground-Floor Trader Weekly Update The market has yet to find a definite bottom, but recent activity is more positive than negative. Although stocks continue to move higher and lower each day based on whatever news is making headlines, we're seeing better relative performance from economically sensitive stocks such as UPS and FedEx and from selected financial-services stocks. In addition, it seems that investors are increasingly persuaded that the Fed will do whatever it takes not only to keep the economy afloat but specifically to save the financial sector from ruin. As we've said before, the massive stimulus this entails will only exacerbate the inflationary pressures we're seeing around the world. It's hard to remember that only a couple of years ago, it was widely believed that the U.S. and most of the developed world had inflation licked. Even emerging markets were doing a much better job at keeping inflation low; Latin American economies were plagued by double-digit inflation for decades until this century, when a variety of factors helped most get it under control. But now the trend is reversing. In the U.S., money-supply growth is at or near record highs; along with rising commodity prices, that's pushing inflation higher than we've seen in years. And around the world, other countries are watching inflation tick higher as well. Advertisement Ground floor opportunity as precious as gold. Here's how to phenomenally improve your investment profits by buying stocks when they're downright cheap. Take, for instance, the current bull market in gold. We think gold will more than double in the next few years, thanks to the Fed's loose money policies. And along the way, those who buy the dips, will make the lion's share of profits. Of course, buying stocks at the bottom of their price range or on a dip takes courage, because that's when they look their worst. But with the right information and methods at your fingertips, you can take advantage of many exceptional investments that are poised for rapid gains. For instance, we've already spotted several undervalued gold companies that could do very well in the months ahead. To find out about these and other explosive opportunities on an on-going basis, just click on this link . . . Leeb's Ground Floor Trader. ------------------------------------- So while we feel good about the U.S. stock market now it's closer to a bottom than a bear market, and likely will rally over the next six to 12 months our long-term view that higher inflation is inevitable continues to suggest a significant overweight in the best inflation hedge around: gold and other precious-metals stocks. On the IPO front, we're also seeing some positive signs. When the economy is truly tanking, pulling stocks lower with it, IPO activity dries up altogether. And while we're not seeing the same pace of activity as we witnessed in 2006 and much of 2007 far from it companies continue to file for IPOs and several are going public. Note that VISA, the largest IPO in years, has performed extremely well (we took profits on that trade this week). So if you have cash on the sidelines, prepare to put it to work. As the stock market begins to move north decisively, look for a flood of IPOs to come to market.
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